Analysts at investment Bank Morgan Stanley is expected that by the end of 2019, the hryvnia exchange rate will fall relative to the dollar from the current levels of 4 UAH – 31 UAH/$ and 32.5 UAH/$ by the end of 2020. 24-my.info informs
In 2020, Morgan Stanley analysts expect the NBU will reduce the discount rate to 14% and by the end of this year, the value of Ukraine’s debt to decline to 16%.
The American investment Bank analysts foresee a slowdown in GDP growth to 2.7% in 2019 and 2.6% in 2020. The current account deficit is forecast at 4% of GDP in 2019 and 3.6% in 2020.
“Political, macroeconomic uncertainty for investment, increased gas prices, high inflation, limiting the consumption of households” – so briefly described the economic situation in Ukraine in the report Morgan Stanley.